tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post5937030379274532077..comments2024-03-27T14:09:10.049-07:00Comments on Sillyinvestor: Always fully vested vs Market Timing (War Chest) approach Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post-52934003428962372822021-05-21T06:20:03.976-07:002021-05-21T06:20:03.976-07:00Do you need to increase your credit score?
Do you ...Do you need to increase your credit score?<br />Do you intend to upgrade your school grade?<br />Do you want to hack your cheating spouse Email, whatsapp, Facebook, instagram or any social network?<br />Do you need any information concerning any database.<br />Do you need to retrieve deleted files?<br />Do you need to clear your criminal records or DMV?<br />Do you want to remove any site or link from any blog?<br />you should contact this hacker, he is reliable and good at the hack jobs..<br />contact : cybergoldenhacker at gmail dot com<br /><br />felisha greenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04448582896725355815noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post-27052040958105716102014-10-18T20:33:36.929-07:002014-10-18T20:33:36.929-07:00Totally agree, the 40 - 60 is arbitrary. Only 2 cr...Totally agree, the 40 - 60 is arbitrary. Only 2 crisises out of 3 give 60% fall. <br /><br />There can only 20 - 40 - 60 in 3 shots combination, <br /><br />And more frequently do 10- 20 - 30 - 40 - 50 5 shots combinations.<br /><br />For me, my thoughts for myself is after the core port is build up, allow the interest dividend to be compounded, fresh funds jnjection should not be trigger happy. I know anything less than 10% will buy trigger fresh jnjection from me, at least j have not add any counters although I have about 2 counters fallen more than 10% than my purchase price. <br /><br />Better to hold cash to allow a few sniper shots for emerencies. <br /><br />When we have more rounds, we can hit a little more freely... Sillyinvestorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03228581533460899084noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post-20248361876823472392014-10-18T20:27:59.028-07:002014-10-18T20:27:59.028-07:00CPF interest are reinvested and compounded, in the...CPF interest are reinvested and compounded, in the anaylsis above; the 3% dividend is ignored and but compounded. <br /><br />As for sliding window analysis, that is beyond me. I however did play with several scenarios like looking at returns at various point of time. In the end, if we need to exit at a unfavourable point, that is going to set people back by quite a lot. Sillyinvestorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03228581533460899084noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post-86978499527786845572014-10-18T20:25:15.099-07:002014-10-18T20:25:15.099-07:00Hi Felix,
I am aware of the 3% dividend effect th...Hi Felix,<br /><br />I am aware of the 3% dividend effect that A will have over B over 2 years initially and the 4 years after 2005. So the gap should be slightly smaller but hardly will make any difference to the results. <br /><br />But if we are talking about companies and/ or Reits with yield of above 5%, then the difference will become more glaring.<br /><br />I did this not as a academic exercise but to convince myself both will give decent results. Sillyinvestorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03228581533460899084noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post-37476105308127239452014-10-18T20:16:16.369-07:002014-10-18T20:16:16.369-07:00The most important thing that you missed out is th...The most important thing that you missed out is the about 3% dividend yield for staying vested. At the end of the day, both ways would generate u decent returns, the indivdual would fare best in the investing style most comfortable to himself, so as to reduce or have no mistakes (such as selling out into a bear market) cheers felix leonf^_^https://www.blogger.com/profile/18369072100189617179noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post-53876629257348354262014-10-18T18:25:10.310-07:002014-10-18T18:25:10.310-07:00A sliding window analysis with different start dat...A sliding window analysis with different start date may give a better sense. Missed those analysis that Teh Hooi Ling used to publish.<br /><br />Incidentally, a ROA of 80%+ over 20 years seem worse off than CPF-SA?Lizardohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16167604791639673170noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2011194091106156925.post-40350595036746186292014-10-18T13:09:28.271-07:002014-10-18T13:09:28.271-07:00A few observations, if I may comment:
(1) One mus...A few observations, if I may comment:<br /><br />(1) One must have the guts to stick to the rule and invest after STI has dropped 40 per cent from the peak. Some people might be scared to catch a falling knife;<br /><br />(2) Things often look good in hindsight. We are assuming history is an indicator of future performance. We never know how STI might react in the future. It might retreat up to a maximum of 39.9 per cent before it soar again.<br /><br />Your article gave me some food for thought though. Thanks!SShttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05793020624721538791noreply@blogger.com