Monday, June 8, 2020

Random story: The Divorce of Semb Couple

---------------Story is frictional although based on market events-------------------------

The divorce has happened, Sem Indalecio has formally announced the split with long time wife, Mary. The divorce settlement is 2.1 billion. The couple used to be the envy of the public. It is just years ago that people pay $5000 to $ 6000 just to meet the couple separately in a annual event, where buffet is not even served.

Mary used to contribute a lot to the family, and for a number of years, is the bread winner of sort, having contribute more to the family than Indalecio. Yet, her business has fallen to bad times. Her drinking antics frustrated Indalecio. She drinks so much that she ended up paying for her customers all the time, and the reasons she gave is unacceptable to Indalecio. Drinks are so cheap, that at one point, brewery are paying customers to drink, why not drink to heart content?

Indalecio has tried to help Mary get to her feet, he loaned her 1.5 billon dollars. Now, Indalecio has said forget about the 1.5 biliion, we will go our separate ways, but I will take some properties that are under our joint names.

Indalecio foster dad, Teal, has been engineering this split from behind. Teal has been telling Indalecio Mary is a burden. Teal supported the split and tells Indalecio that he will chips in to fund the reminding 0.6 bio separation fees of Mary, but he wants a cut of the properties too.

Teal has been spreading rumors about Mary, saying that she has loved Kenny, and she is better off having a union with Kenny. Teal says he knows, because Kenny is also his foster son. He told Indalecio to let go, as happiness cannot be forced.

Friends of Mary are worried, believing the terms of separation seems to favour Indalecio and Teal, and Tael particularly, than her. However, Mary is too vulnerable now to bargain.

Friends of Indalecio is secretly happy, yet they are not too sure if 1.5 billion for some properties is really worth the deal. Indalecio said he wanted the split to go amicably. Unknown to the friends, Tael and Indalecio believe the loan is of risk of not returned, so might as well. Now, Indalecio is the eligible bachelor.  

As the Covid19 ravages the economy, is this promininet public couple be the last to split? The couple were once inseparatable, so much so that Indalecio agreed to elope with Mary, only to be stopped by both their friends. Now, in a matter of years, the word is focus on each other lives. The Covid -19 has challenged the connotation of "United we stay, divided we fall". If you look at the couple's lives, nothing much has changed, they simply renounced their marriage, without any tangible changes to their lives, and yet the papers have been talking about how this marriage is going to benefit both of them. 


12 comments:

  1. Personally, I really want to pen this before market opens, to prevent bring accused of hindsight bias.

    I think deal is more than fair to SCI, but not that clear cut with SCM.

    Assume post rights, the shares ofiof SCM worth only 20 cents (rights price, lower than TErP price)

    Have at least 4 for 1, means SCI shareholders will get 80 cents.

    Of course that wouldmeans SCI shares price should drop too.

    If we believe the last done price of 1.5 for SCI, before announcement is to remain, it should move towards 60 - 70 cents when market reopens.

    If SCI price stays above 1 dollar. Market is alreadying bidding up SCI unless they believe the deal is not going to succeed.

    If SCI stays more or less unchanged, u gets SCM shares free.

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    Replies
    1. Vested interest in SCI. 2nd largest counter in portfolio

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